Episode 10 – How To (Actually) Interpret Acceptance Data

The Game: A Guide to Elite College Admissions

Many students and families heavily rely on the college acceptance data (GPA/test scores vs. college outcomes) of past applicants from their high school to make high-stakes decisions about their school list, selection of early decision colleges, and likely overall college outcomes.

In this episode, we break down how past college acceptance data is reported at many high schools, and the significant limitations and shortcomings of using such data for students applying to the most selective colleges. In particular, we cover the following:

1. The Limited Predictive Power of GPA/Scores When Applying to Top Colleges
2. The Necessity of Only Comparing to Past Applicants Who Applied Under the Same Decision Plan (ED, EA, RD, etc)
3. Why Graph Averages Can Be Misleading
4. How To View Outliers and Avoid Wishful Thinking
5. Data Expiration: What HS Graduating Classes You Should Be Using
6. The Imperfections of Self-Report Data and Various Inaccuracies/Missing Information
7. The Importance of Sample Size and the Tradeoff With High Quality Comparison Cases
8. Complexities of Test Score Reporting: Test-Optional, Superscores, and Beyond
9. Limitations of GPA, Accounting for Senior Year Grades, and Why The GPA Admissions Officers See Is Often Not The One Reflected in HS Data Systems

Final Takeaways: Best Practices for Analyzing and Using High School Acceptance Data

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