Can The Yield Curve Still Predict Recessions? The Indicator From Planet Money podcast

Artwork

Economics Business Disciplines NPR Business News

Player FM - Internet Radio Done Right

8,831 subscribers

Daily Business News

اضافه شده در six سال پیش

محتوای ارائه شده توسط NPR. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط NPR یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal

<

<div class="span index">1</div> <span><a class="" data-remote="true" data-type="html" href="/series/now-on-netflix">Now On Netflix</a></span>

<div class="span index">1</div> <span><a class="" data-remote="true" data-type="html" href="/series/now-on-netflix">Now On Netflix</a></span> podcast artwork

<div class="span index">1</div> <span><a class="" data-remote="true" data-type="html" href="/series/now-on-netflix">Now On Netflix</a></span> podcast artwork

1
Now On Netflix

لغو اشتراک

19 hours پیش19h ago

لغو اشتراک

هفتگی

Now On Netflix is your guide for what to watch this week on Netflix. Join the writers and editors from Tudum.com as they discuss the latest films and series coming to Netflix - and why you won't want to miss them! Celebrity interviews, exclusive insights, upcoming releases, and a behind-the-scenes look you won’t get anywhere else. New episodes every Thursday. https://www.netflix.com/tudum

The Indicator from Planet Money « »
Can the yield curve still predict recessions?

حدود یک سال پیش 9:08

اشتراک گذاری

MP3•خانه قسمت

محتوای ارائه شده توسط NPR. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط NPR یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?
Related episodes:
The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify)
Yield curve jitters
Two Yield Curve Indicators
For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.
Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.
Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices
NPR Privacy Policy

… continue reading

1803 قسمت

#Economics #Business Disciplines #NPR #Business #News

Artwork

Can the yield curve still predict recessions?

The Indicator from Planet Money

8,831 subscribers

published حدود یک سال پیش

اشتراک گذاری

MP3•خانه قسمت

محتوای ارائه شده توسط NPR. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط NPR یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?
Related episodes:
The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify)
Yield curve jitters
Two Yield Curve Indicators
For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.
Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.
Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices
NPR Privacy Policy

… continue reading

1803 قسمت

#Economics #Business Disciplines #NPR #Business #News

Kaikki jaksot

×

Artwork

1
Economic lessons learned from Investopedia (and Ferris Bueller) 9:29

21 hours پیش9:29

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:29

The current economic upheaval has lots of us scrambling for our glossaries and history books. Today on the show, the editor-in-chief of Investopedia walks us through three vocab terms — spanning topics from tariff history to market volatility — that are spiking on the website lately. Related listening: What can we learn from the year's most popular econ terms? What's a moneyline bet anyway? ( Apple / Spotify ) Why tariffs are SO back ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Did Trump enable insider trading? 9:15

۲ روز پیش9:15

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:15

On the morning of April 9, President Trump posted on Truth Social "THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT." Around four hours later, he announced a pause on some new tariffs, causing a stock market spike. Now, Democrats are demanding an investigation into possible insider trading. But were Trump's posts actually insider trading? Related episodes: Morally questionable, economically efficient ( Apple / Spotify ) An insider trader tells all For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
The spat over VAT 9:29

۳ روز پیش9:29

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:29

If you've ever passed through airport customs overseas and been refunded a VAT — or value added tax — for souvenirs, you've benefited from the VAT system. But President Trump says VAT is unfair to the U.S. On today's episode, we learn what VAT is and what it isn't. Related episodes: What's so bad about a trade deficit? ( Apple / Spotify ) Tarrified! We check in on businesses ( Apple / Spotify ) Why there's no referee for the trade war ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
How much is a weather forecast worth? (Update) 8:48

۴ روز پیش8:48

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

8:48

The federal government has been tracking the weather for more than 150 years. But the rise of the Internet and big tech have made weather forecasting a more crowded space. Today on the show, the value of an accurate forecast and how the Trump administration's early moves are clouding the government's future forecasting. This piece originally aired in November 2024. Related stories: Hazard maps: The curse of knowledge ( Apple / Spotify ) Should we invest more in weather forecasting? After a year of deadly weather, cities look to private forecasters to save lives Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
IRS information sharing, bonds bust, and a chorebot future 9:27

۷ روز پیش9:27

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:27

Today on the show, we discuss why the IRS is sharing some taxpayer information, why bonds and stocks both fell, and how robots will replace you,or at least most of your chore wheel, in the near future. Related episodes: Why are stocks and bonds both falling? For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
What keeps a Fed president up at night 9:21

۸ روز پیش9:21

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:21

"There's no bad weather, only bad clothing." That's the motto of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, where Austan Goolsbee is president. As economic weather conditions stay unpredictable, Austan tells us how he's gearing up for tariffs, inflation, and more. Related episodes: The Fed cut rates ... now what? (featuring: Sasquatch) ( Apple / Spotify ) Tariffied! We check in on businesses ( Apple / Spotify ) A chat with the president of the San Francisco Fed ( Apple / Spotify ) Is the economy going stag(flation)? For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
What happens when an economist becomes prime minister? 9:29

۹ روز پیش9:29

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:29

Today on the show, we meet Canada's new Prime Minister, economist Mark Carney. What's it like when your former job — being a non-political banker who decides a country's interest rate — bleeds into your now-political decisions on everything ? Related episodes: A polite message from Canada to the U.S. ( Apple / Spotify ) Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
What's so bad about a trade deficit? 9:06

10 روز پیش9:06

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:06

President Trump claims a main goal of his crippling tariffs is to address the U.S. trade deficit. So is the U.S. trade deficit a problem? On today's show, why we'll never have a trade surplus with every single country; what the benefits of a trade deficit are; and whether or not the trade deficit affects jobs. Related episodes: Tariffied! We check in on businesses ( Apple / Spotify ) Why there's no referee for the trade war ( Apple / Spotify ) Common economic myths debunked ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Tariffied! We check in on businesses 8:59

11 روز پیش8:59

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

8:59

Trump's wave of tariffs is here. Just about everyone in the world of business is still processing exactly what this means. It's a massive, widespread increase in taxes. Today on the show, we hear from business people we've had on the show who tell us what they're doing in response to the latest, and largest, wave of tariffs. Related episodes: Trump's contradictory trade policies ( Apple / Spotify ) How's ... everybody doing? ( Apple / Spotify ) How Shein became a fast-fashion behemoth ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
How states are scooping up federal workers 7:45

13 روز پیش7:45

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

7:45

It's Jobs Friday and all eyes are on government workers. Will the Trump administration's layoffs finally show up in the latest jobs report? Today on the show, we look at the numbers for federal workers and who's trying to hire them. Related listening: Can ... we still trust the monthly jobs report ( Apple / Spotify ) The last time we shrank the federal workforce ( Apple / Spotify ) A 'Fork in the Road' for federal employees ( Apple / Spotify ) How local government is propping up the U.S. labor market For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Why the great vinyl shortage is over 9:19

15 روز پیش9:19

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:19

There have now been a few major vinyl booms. And unbeknownst to many, a small village in the Czech Republic has been responsible for manufacturing a large number of these albums. On today's show, how this dominant player became a problem for its competitors in the U.S. Related episodes: Rumor has it Adele broke the vinyl supply chain 'Let's Get It On' ... in court (Update) ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
What $10 billion in data centers actually gets you 9:00

16 روز پیش9:00

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:00

Billions of tech dollars flowing into a community to build data centers should transform a local economy ... right? Well, maybe not. On today's episode: Why data centers create few permanent jobs. And why communities might want them anyway. Related episodes: Why China's DeepSeek AI is such a big deal ( Apple / Spotify ) Is AI overrated? ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Should we vote for all judges? 8:48

17 روز پیش8:48

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

8:48

Mexico is gearing up to directly elect federal and state judges for the first time this June. President Claudia Sheinbaum says the new system will combat nepotism and increase the integrity of the courts. But critics see it as a naked attempt to dilute the court's independence. Today on the show, how Mexico's judicial reforms are creating angst for businesses at home and abroad. Related episodes: SCOTUS: De-facto pro-business? For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Cooper Katz-McKim. Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Overly Friendly Emails and other marketing pet peeves 9:22

18 روز پیش9:22

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:22

Brands trying to be your best bud. Generational labels. Gendered double standards. Today on the show: three advertising experts bring their three pet peeves in advertisements. Related episodes: How to make an ad memorable ( Apple / Spotify ) J. Screwed The Gender Gap Series: The Problem With The Pink Tax For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

Artwork

1
Missing taxes, spiking copper and Napster's re-re-rebirth 9:31

21 روز پیش9:31

پخش در آینده

پخش در آینده

دوست داشته شد

9:31

On Indicators of the Week, we look at a huge projected tax shortfall, the price of copper and the afterlife of Napster, the peer-to-peer file-sharing service that refuses to die. Related episodes: A new-ish gold rush and other indicators ( Apple / Spotify ) Can the Federal Reserve stay independent ( Apple / Spotify ) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org . Music by Drop Electric . Find us: TikTok , Instagram , Facebook , Newsletter . Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy…

به Player FM خوش آمدید!

Player FM در سراسر وب را برای یافتن پادکست های با کیفیت اسکن می کند تا همین الان لذت ببرید. این بهترین برنامه ی پادکست است که در اندروید، آیفون و وب کار می کند. ثبت نام کنید تا اشتراک های شما در بین دستگاه های مختلف همگام سازی شود.

به بیش از 500 موضوع گوش کنید

در حین کاوش به این نمایش گوش دهید