La superintelligence dans quelques milliers de jours dixit "Sam Altman" ? Est-ce-possible ?

Parlons Futur

Sam Altman a dit : "It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I’m confident we’ll get there."

source: https://ia.samaltman.com/

Alors possible ? Comment ? Quelles contraintes ? Quels risques ?

OpenAI Scale Ranks Progress Toward ‘Human-Level’:

• Problem Solving Level 1 (where it think it's at): the kind of AI available today that can interact in conversational language with people
• Level 2 (where we're entering): “Reasoners.” This refers to systems that can do basic problem-solving tasks as well as a human with a doctorate-level education who doesn’t have access to any tools.
• Level 3: Agents,” referring to AI systems that can spend several days taking actions on a user’s behalf.
• Level 4: AI that can come up with new innovations.
• Level 5: AI that can do the work of an organization (same as AGI or superintelligence)