Is The Yield Curve’s Recession Signal Wrong?Jeff Snider

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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محتوای ارائه شده توسط Jack Farley. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط Jack Farley یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal

Threshold

1
Hark | 8 | The Queen's English 30:00

19 روز پیش30:00

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30:00

Living together in a group is a strategy many animals use to survive and thrive. And a big part of what makes that living situation successful is listening. In this episode, we explore the collaborative world of the naked mole-rat. Threshold is nonprofit, listener-supported, and independently produced. You can support Threshold by donating today . To stay connected, sign up for our newsletter . Operation frog sound! Send us your frog sounds for an upcoming episode. We want you to go out, listen for frogs and toads, and record them. Just find someone croaking, and hit record on your phone. It doesn’t matter if there’s background noise. It doesn’t even matter if you’re not sure whether or not you’re hearing an amphibian—if you think you are, we would love to get a recording from you. Please also say your name and where you are in the world, and then email the recording to us at outreach@thresholdpodcast.org…

حدود یک سال پیش 1:26:48

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Jeff Snider of Eurodollar University joins Jack to explore whether the inverted yield curve signal has been proven wrong, and just how strong or weak the U.S. economy is. Recorded on October 28, 2024.

Follow Monetary Matters on:

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Follow Jeff Snider on Twitter https://x.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Jeff’s YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@eurodollaruniversity

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

93 قسمت

#Trading #Business News #Business #News #Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Is The Yield Curve’s Recession Signal Wrong?Jeff Snider

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

23 subscribers

published حدود یک سال پیش

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MP3•خانه قسمت

Follow Monetary Matters on:

Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh

Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5

YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Follow Jeff Snider on Twitter https://x.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Jeff’s YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@eurodollaruniversity

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

93 قسمت

#Trading #Business News #Business #News #Jack Farley

همه قسمت ها

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Lyn Alden: Challenge America’s Trade Deficit, Challenge The U.S. Dollar | Alden on China, Gold, and Financial and Economic Impacts of Tariffs 1:09:12

1 day پیش1:09:12

1:09:12

To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: vaneck.com/OUNZJack Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy explains the connection between the capital and financial imbalances the U.S. has with the rest of the world and its trade imbalances which are under so much scrutiny by the current U.S. administration. Alden argues that turbulence in markets, particularly U.S. assets, could continue, and warns listeners not to be exposed beyond their risk limits at a juncture that could be a historic time for markets and the global economy. Recorded April 10, 2025. Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Lyn Alden’s book, “Broken Money”: https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Money-Financial-System-Failing/dp/B0CG8985FR Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez ____ The material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. Before investing you should carefully consider the VanEck Merk Gold ETF’s (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”) investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. An investment in the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (“OUNZ” or the “Trust”) is subject to significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. OUNZ is not an investment company registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the “1940 Act”) and therefore is not subject to the same protections as mutual funds or ETFs registered under the 1940 Act. The request for redemption of shares for gold is subject to a number of risks including but not limited to the potential for the price of gold to decline during the time between the submission of the request and delivery. Delivery may take a considerable amount of time depending on your location. The Sponsor for the Trust is Merk Investments, LLC. The Marketing Agent for the Trust is Van Eck Securities Corporation. © Merk Investments LLC © Van Eck Associates Corporation…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
When the Market Crashes… They Profit | Wayne Himelsein on Logica Capital’s Long Volatility Playbook 56:24

۴ روز پیش56:24

56:24

Wayne Himelsein, CIO and founder of Logic Capital Advisors, joins Other People’s Money, to discuss how his hedge fund is built to profit when volatility spikes in moments just like this. Everybody wants to carry crash protection but if implemented improperly the cost of carrying hedges can bleed you dry. Finding innovative ways to solve this problem is what drives Himelsein and Logica forward and in this discussion he discusses their approach to maintaining at the money long volatility exposure without relying on spread trades to fund tail hedges. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Wayne on X: https://x.com/WayneHimelsein Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Why Trump Is Likely To Negotiate Trade Deals | Charles Gasparino on Tariffs, White House Factions, and Protectionist Conservative Coalition 54:10

۴ روز پیش54:10

54:10

Charles Gasparino, Fox Business Senior Correspondent, give color into the protectionist and moderate factions in the White House, and explains why he thinks that, President Trump is likely to reach a deal with major trading partners. Recorded April 8, 2025. Follow Charles Gasparino on Twitter https://x.com/CGasparino Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
“Going Full Reagan” | Tian Yang on Trump Administration’s Bet To Shrink U.S. Trade Deficit, Signs of Market Panic, and Dollar Outlook 59:58

۴ روز پیش59:58

59:58

Tian Yang, CEO and head of research at Variant Perception, explains his view on a variety of assets on time horizons of tactical, cyclical, and structural duration. Recorded April 7, 2025. Follow Variant Perception on Twitter https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Variant Perception website: https://variantperception.com/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Tariff Escalation Update | Jack & Max on April 7 Tariff News & Market 44:31

۵ روز پیش44:31

44:31

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Other People’s Money Podcast on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
“Supply Shock Greater Than Great Depression-Era Smoot-Hawley Tariff” | David Kotok on Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs And Market Crash 56:38

۵ روز پیش56:38

56:38

David Kotok’s book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks”: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Flu-Parsing-Pandemic-Economic-ebook/dp/B0DCK1ZHJT Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow David Kotok on Twitter https://x.com/DavidKotokGIC Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Trump’s War on Markets | Benn Eifert on Volatility, Tariffs and Growth of Derivatives-Embedded ETFs 1:05:32

۷ روز پیش1:05:32

1:05:32

Benn Eifert of QVR Advisors joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on tariffs, volatility, and the growth of ETFs with embedded derivatives. Recorded on March 26 (before “Liberation Day” and the market crash). Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Benn Eifert on Twitter https://x.com/bennpeifert Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Liberation Day Has Come | Jack & Max on Seismic Market Revolt Against Trump Admin’s Tariff Policy (Recorded April 3 2025) 44:42

۹ روز پیش44:42

44:42

Jack Farley & Max Wiethe share their analysis as global financial markets react with shock to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs which are based not on other countries’ tariff or non-tariff trade measures, but on the level of trade deficit itself. Recorded the morning of April 3, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Other People’s Money Podcast on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Tariffs: The Ultimate Stagflationary Shock? | Darius Dale on "Liberation Day," DOGE, Gold, and the Global Debt Refinancing Air Pocket 1:05:47

10 روز پیش1:05:47

1:05:47

Darius Dale of 42Macro joins Jack to explain why he’s been bearish on U.S. stocks and expects the rough sledding to continue. Dale believes stagflationary shock from tariffs and deflationary DOGE forces could cause Treasurys to catch a short-term bid, but long-term he is bearish on bonds. On a longer-term time horizon, Dale thinks Trump fiscal forces could be positive for the economy and markets. Recorded on April 1, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Darius Dale on Twitter https://x.com/DariusDale42 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Trading Market Turmoil: Any System is Better than No System | OPM Trader Talks with Petr Pinkhasov of Anthem Capital Management 55:33

12 روز پیش55:33

55:33

This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoil and rotations. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Petr on X: https://x.com/pinkhasov Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities 1:26:25

17 روز پیش1:26:25

1:26:25

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
From Treasury Minister of Argentina to Macro Hedge Fund Manager | Nicolás Dujovne of Tenac Asset Management 1:05:23

19 روز پیش1:05:23

1:05:23

This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss his path from Treasury Minister of Argentina and president of the G-20 to hedge fund manager. Despite more experience managing economies than trading them, Dujovne and his partners at Tenac have succeeded in building a 5+ year track record with no down years and an annualized rate of 17.18% net of fees, focusing mostly on sovereign and corporate debt of emerging market countries. In the interview we discuss how global macro feeds portfolio construction, the important factors when analyzing individual emerging markets, and how understanding large international organizations like the IMF is crucial to predicting outcomes in EM. This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:29 Fintool Front Roll 02:00 Why is LATAM a Macro Hotbed? 04:11 From Minister of the Treasury to Macro Trader 11:36 Capital Raising in LATAM 16:31 Developing & Communicating Your Investment Process 20:53 Fintool Mid Roll 22:01 The Growth of EM Debt Markets 25:56 Dispersion and Portfolio Management 30:50 Corporate/Quasi Sovereign Debt 34:30 The Events That Move Markets in EM 38:22 Data Integrity Issues in EM 39:28 Vol and Investor Expectations 43:14 Global Spotlight on Argentina 44:57 Unique Requirements of Global Investing 48:16 The Roll of the IMF 54:27 Elections and Prediction Markets 56:58 The Roll of US Financial Conditions 01:01:45 Current Outlook for US Trade Policy 01:03:17 Opportunity Right Now #stocks #economics #economy #recession #bonds #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #analyst #Alternatives #Argentina #NicolasDujovne #tenac #emergingmarkets #EMinvesting…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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A Foreclosure Wave Is Coming | Chris Whalen on FHA Mortgage Loans, Tariffs, Bank Valuations, and Payment Companies 1:04:09

20 روز پیش1:04:09

1:04:09

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe While Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors is a supporter of many of the Trump administration’s policies, he expects they will cause some significant turbulence in credit and economic markets. Chris explains why he thinks FHA Mortgage foreclosures will rise, and shares his views on tariffs, bank stocks, and payment companies. Recorded on March 20, 2025. Second edition of Chris Whalen’s “Inflated”: https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Inflated%3A+Money%2C+Debt+and+the+American+Dream%2C+2nd+Edition-p-9781394285716 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
The Fed's Rate Cutting Cycle Is Already Over | Jim Bianco on March Fed Meeting, Trump Tariffs, and 4/5/6 Markets 1:11:05

24 روز پیش1:11:05

1:11:05

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Jim Bianco returns to Monetary Matters to break down the March Federal Reserve meeting. He explains why he thinks tariffs are unlikely to cause a recession and share his current asset allocation outlook. Recorded the afternoon of March 19, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

1
Volatility Markets Are Complacent | Kris Sidial on Tariff Risk to Stocks, Dispersion Trade, and Margin Risk 54:10

24 روز پیش54:10

54:10

Kris Sidial, co-CIO of The Ambrus Group, returns to Monetary Matters to share his decidedly bearish view of the U.S. stock market. Kris argues that volatility markets are not sufficiently pricing in the risks of President Trump’s economic policy, and if that if anything, vol traders are expecting a bounce and laying off hedges rather than buying them. Kris also explains the dispersion trade, vol selling in ETFs, index arb, vanna & volga, VVIX, and margin risk. Recorded on March 18, 2025. Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez…

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Is The Yield Curve’s Recession Signal Wrong?Jeff Snider