Why do so many of us get nervous when public speaking? Communication expert Lawrence Bernstein says the key to dealing with the pressure is as simple as having a casual chat. He introduces the "coffee shop test" as a way to help you overcome nerves, connect with your audience and deliver a message that truly resonates. After the talk, Modupe explains a similar approach in academia called the "Grandma test," and how public speaking can be as simple as a conversation with grandma. Want to help shape TED’s shows going forward? Fill out our survey ! Become a TED Member today at https://ted.com/join Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…
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محتوای ارائه شده توسط LessWrong. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط LessWrong یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal
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“Arbital has been imported to LessWrong” by RobertM, jimrandomh, Ben Pace, Ruby
Manage episode 467600000 series 3364758
محتوای ارائه شده توسط LessWrong. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط LessWrong یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal
Arbital was envisioned as a successor to Wikipedia. The project was discontinued in 2017, but not before many new features had been built and a substantial amount of writing about AI alignment and mathematics had been published on the website.
If you've tried using Arbital.com the last few years, you might have noticed that it was on its last legs - no ability to register new accounts or log in to existing ones, slow load times (when it loaded at all), etc. Rather than try to keep it afloat, the LessWrong team worked with MIRI to migrate the public Arbital content to LessWrong, as well as a decent chunk of its features. Part of this effort involved a substantial revamp of our wiki/tag pages, as well as the Concepts page. After sign-off[1] from Eliezer, we'll also redirect arbital.com links to the corresponding pages on LessWrong.
As always, you are [...]
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Outline:
(01:13) New content
(01:43) New (and updated) features
(01:48) The new concepts page
(02:03) The new wiki/tag page design
(02:31) Non-tag wiki pages
(02:59) Lenses
(03:30) Voting
(04:45) Inline Reacts
(05:08) Summaries
(06:20) Redlinks
(06:59) Claims
(07:25) The edit history page
(07:40) Misc.
The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
The original text contained 10 images which were described by AI.
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First published:
February 20th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fwSnz5oNnq8HxQjTL/arbital-has-been-imported-to-lesswrong
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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continue reading
If you've tried using Arbital.com the last few years, you might have noticed that it was on its last legs - no ability to register new accounts or log in to existing ones, slow load times (when it loaded at all), etc. Rather than try to keep it afloat, the LessWrong team worked with MIRI to migrate the public Arbital content to LessWrong, as well as a decent chunk of its features. Part of this effort involved a substantial revamp of our wiki/tag pages, as well as the Concepts page. After sign-off[1] from Eliezer, we'll also redirect arbital.com links to the corresponding pages on LessWrong.
As always, you are [...]
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Outline:
(01:13) New content
(01:43) New (and updated) features
(01:48) The new concepts page
(02:03) The new wiki/tag page design
(02:31) Non-tag wiki pages
(02:59) Lenses
(03:30) Voting
(04:45) Inline Reacts
(05:08) Summaries
(06:20) Redlinks
(06:59) Claims
(07:25) The edit history page
(07:40) Misc.
The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
The original text contained 10 images which were described by AI.
---
First published:
February 20th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fwSnz5oNnq8HxQjTL/arbital-has-been-imported-to-lesswrong
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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538 قسمت
اشتراک گذاریManage episode 467600000 series 3364758
محتوای ارائه شده توسط LessWrong. تمام محتوای پادکست شامل قسمت‌ها، گرافیک‌ها و توضیحات پادکست مستقیماً توسط LessWrong یا شریک پلتفرم پادکست آن‌ها آپلود و ارائه می‌شوند. اگر فکر می‌کنید شخصی بدون اجازه شما از اثر دارای حق نسخه‌برداری شما استفاده می‌کند، می‌توانید روندی که در اینجا شرح داده شده است را دنبال کنید.https://fa.player.fm/legal
Arbital was envisioned as a successor to Wikipedia. The project was discontinued in 2017, but not before many new features had been built and a substantial amount of writing about AI alignment and mathematics had been published on the website.
If you've tried using Arbital.com the last few years, you might have noticed that it was on its last legs - no ability to register new accounts or log in to existing ones, slow load times (when it loaded at all), etc. Rather than try to keep it afloat, the LessWrong team worked with MIRI to migrate the public Arbital content to LessWrong, as well as a decent chunk of its features. Part of this effort involved a substantial revamp of our wiki/tag pages, as well as the Concepts page. After sign-off[1] from Eliezer, we'll also redirect arbital.com links to the corresponding pages on LessWrong.
As always, you are [...]
---
Outline:
(01:13) New content
(01:43) New (and updated) features
(01:48) The new concepts page
(02:03) The new wiki/tag page design
(02:31) Non-tag wiki pages
(02:59) Lenses
(03:30) Voting
(04:45) Inline Reacts
(05:08) Summaries
(06:20) Redlinks
(06:59) Claims
(07:25) The edit history page
(07:40) Misc.
The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
The original text contained 10 images which were described by AI.
---
First published:
February 20th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fwSnz5oNnq8HxQjTL/arbital-has-been-imported-to-lesswrong
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
…
continue reading
If you've tried using Arbital.com the last few years, you might have noticed that it was on its last legs - no ability to register new accounts or log in to existing ones, slow load times (when it loaded at all), etc. Rather than try to keep it afloat, the LessWrong team worked with MIRI to migrate the public Arbital content to LessWrong, as well as a decent chunk of its features. Part of this effort involved a substantial revamp of our wiki/tag pages, as well as the Concepts page. After sign-off[1] from Eliezer, we'll also redirect arbital.com links to the corresponding pages on LessWrong.
As always, you are [...]
---
Outline:
(01:13) New content
(01:43) New (and updated) features
(01:48) The new concepts page
(02:03) The new wiki/tag page design
(02:31) Non-tag wiki pages
(02:59) Lenses
(03:30) Voting
(04:45) Inline Reacts
(05:08) Summaries
(06:20) Redlinks
(06:59) Claims
(07:25) The edit history page
(07:40) Misc.
The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
The original text contained 10 images which were described by AI.
---
First published:
February 20th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fwSnz5oNnq8HxQjTL/arbital-has-been-imported-to-lesswrong
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
538 قسمت
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1 “When is it important that open-weight models aren’t released? My thoughts on the benefits and dangers of open-weight models in response to developments in CBRN capabilities.” by ryan_greenblatt 17:11
Recently, Anthropic released Opus 4 and said they couldn't rule out the model triggering ASL-3 safeguards due to the model's CBRN capabilities. That is, they say they couldn't rule out that this model had "the ability to significantly help individuals or groups with basic technical backgrounds (e.g., undergraduate STEM degrees) create/obtain and deploy CBRN weapons" (quoting from Anthropic's RSP). More specifically, Anthropic is worried about the model's capabilities in assisting with bioweapons. (See footnote 3 here.) Given this and results on Virology Capabilities Test, it seems pretty likely that various other AI companies have or will soon have models which can significantly help amateurs make bioweapons.[1] One relevant question is whether it would be bad if there were open-weight models above this capability threshold. Further, should people advocate for not releasing open-weight models above this capability level? In this post, I'll discuss how I think about releasing [...] --- Outline: (02:45) Costs and benefits of open-weight models with these CBRN capabilities (08:12) Implications of this cost-benefit situation (11:39) When would my views on open weights change? (14:32) Mitigations The original text contained 10 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TeF8Az2EiWenR9APF/when-is-it-important-that-open-weight-models-aren-t-released --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
1 “Outer Alignment is the Necessary Compliment to AI 2027’s Best Case Scenario” by Josh Hickman 3:37
To the extent we believe more advanced training and control techniques will lead to alignment of agents capable enough to strategically make successor agents -- and be able to solve inner alignment as a convergent instrumental goal -- we must also consider that inner alignment for successor systems can be solved much easier than for humans, as the prior AIs can be embedded in the successor. The entire (likely much smaller) prior model can be run many times more than the successor model, to help MCTS whatever plans it's considering in the context of the goals of the designer model. I've been thinking about which parts of AI 2027 are the weakest, and this seems like the biggest gap.[1] Given this scenario otherwise seems non-ridiculous, we should have a fairly ambitious outer alignment plan meant to compliment it, otherwise it seems extraordinarily unlikely that the convergent alignment research would [...] The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rpKPgzjr3tPkDZChg/outer-alignment-is-the-necessary-compliment-to-ai-2027-s --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
A key question going forward is the extent to which making further AI progress will depend upon some form of continual learning. Dwarkesh Patel offers us an extended essay considering these questions and reasons to be skeptical of the pace of progress for a while. I am less skeptical about many of these particular considerations, and do my best to explain why in detail. Separately, Ivanka Trump recently endorsed a paper with a discussion I liked a lot less but that needs to be discussed given how influential her voice might (mind you I said might) be to policy going forward, so I will then cover that here as well. Dwarkesh Patel on Continual Learning Dwarkesh Patel explains why he doesn’t think AGI is right around the corner, and why AI progress today is insufficient to replace most white collar employment: That continual learning is both [...] --- Outline: (00:44) Dwarkesh Patel on Continual Learning (09:43) Comparing Investments (11:51) Comparing Predictions (21:18) Others React to Dwarkesh Patel (28:25) Ivanka Trump and The Era of Experience --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YEwzhjFzt3zKctg2F/dwarkesh-patel-on-continual-learning --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
Just posted the following on Medium. Interested in comments from readers here, especially pointers to similar efforts and ideas I didn't mention below. This is the first in a series of articles describing features, functions, and components of Personal Agents — next generation AI virtual assistants that will serve as trusted advisors, caretakers, and user proxies. Personal Agents will preferably be developed as an open source project. Primary goals are to specify agents that (1) Significantly benefit people (are not just cool or fun) and (2) Avoid harmful side-effects (like those plaguing social media or that worry AI safety advocates). A clear and open specification will facilitate agent development and certification. This article provides a brief overview of Personal Agents. Personal Agents (PAs), introduced here and here, are next-generation virtual assistants[1] that will support people in all aspects of their lives — from health and safety to education, career [...] The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tJg9AxhgsZpizeGv5/personal-agents-ais-as-trusted-advisors-caretakers-and-user --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
This is a link post. METR just made a lovely post detailing many examples they've found of reward hacks by frontier models. Unlike the reward hacks of yesteryear, these models are smart enough to know that what they are doing is deceptive and not what the company wanted them to do. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Zu4ai9GFpwezyfB2K/metr-recent-frontier-models-are-reward-hacking Linkpost URL: https://metr.org/blog/2025-06-05-recent-reward-hacking/ --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
This is a link post. Using representation engineering, we systematically induce, detect, and control such deception in CoT-enabled LLMs, extracting ”deception vectors” via Linear Artificial Tomography (LAT) for 89% detection accuracy. Through activation steering, we achieve a 40% success rate in eliciting context-appropriate deception without explicit prompts, unveiling the specific honesty related issue of reasoning models and providing tools for trustworthy AI alignment. This seems like a positive breakthrough for mech interp research generally, the team used RepE to identify features, and were able to "reliably suppress or induce strategic deception". --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3WyFmtiLZTfEQxJCy/identifying-deception-vectors-in-models Linkpost URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.04909 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
Crosspost from my blog. I just got back from Effective Altruism Global London—a conference that brought together lots of different people trying to do good with their money and careers. It was an inspiring experience. When you write about factory farming, insect suffering, global poverty, and the torment of shrimp, it can, as I’ve mentioned before, feel like screaming into the void. When you try to explain why it's important that we don’t torture insects by the trillions in insect farms, most people look at you like you’ve grown a third head (after the second head that they look at you like you’ve grown when you started talking about shrimp welfare). But at effective altruism conferences, people actually care. They’re not indifferent to most of the world's suffering. They don’t think I’m crazy! There are other people who think the suffering of animals matters—even the suffering of [...] --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zTF5idEcK5frNivBt/the-unparalleled-awesomeness-of-effective-altruism --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO . --- Images from the article:…
As I ease out into a short sabbatical, I find myself turning back to dig the seeds of my repeated cycle of exhaustion and burnout in the last few years. Many factors were at play, some more personal that I’m comfortable discussing here. But I have unearthed at least one failure mode that I see reflected and diffracted in others lives, especially people who like me love to think, to make sense, to understand. So that seems worth a blog post, if only to plant a pointer to the problem, and my own way to solve it. I’ve christened this issue the “true goal fallacy”: the unchecked yet embodied assumption that there is a correct goal in the world, a true essence in need of discovery and revealing. Case Study: Team Lead Crash A concrete example: the inciting incident of my first burnout was my promotion to team lead. [...] --- Outline: (00:48) Case Study: Team Lead Crash (03:48) Axiology of True Goal Fallacy (06:20) Absorbing Ambiguity And Allowing Feedback (11:55) On Never Being Fully Cured The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/B4zKRZh5oxyGnAdos/the-true-goal-fallacy --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
AI companies claim that their models are safe on the basis of dangerous capability evaluations. OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic publish reports intended to show their eval results and explain why those results imply that the models' capabilities aren't too dangerous.[1] Unfortunately, the reports mostly don't support the companies' claims. Crucially, the companies usually don't explain why they think the results, which often seem strong, actually indicate safety, especially for biothreat and cyber capabilities. (Additionally, the companies are undereliciting and thus underestimating their models' capabilities, and they don't share enough information for people on the outside to tell how bad this is.) Bad explanation/contextualization OpenAI biothreat evals: OpenAI says "several of our biology evaluations indicate our models are on the cusp of being able to meaningfully help novices create known biological threats, which would cross our high risk threshold." It doesn't say how it concludes this (or what results [...] --- Outline: (00:54) Bad explanation/contextualization (04:34) Dubious elicitation The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AK6AihHGjirdoiJg6/ai-companies-eval-reports-mostly-don-t-support-their-claims --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
People sometimes wonder whether certain AIs or animals are conscious/sentient/sapient/have qualia/etc. I don't think that such questions are coherent. Consciousness is a concept that humans developed for reasoning about humans. It's a useful concept, not because it is ontologically fundamental, but because different humans have lots of close similarities in how our cognition works, and we have privileged access to some details of our own cognition, so “it's like what's going on in my head, but with some differences that I can infer from the fact that they don't act quite the same way I do” is a useful way to understand what's going on in other peoples' heads, and we use consciousness-related language to describe features of human minds that we can understand this way. Consciousness is the thing that a typical adult human recognizes in themselves when hearing others describe the character of their internal cognition. This [...] --- First published: June 9th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/q9A9ZFqW3dDbcTBQL/against-asking-if-ais-are-conscious --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
Four agents woke up with four computers, a view of the world wide web, and a shared chat room full of humans. Like Claude plays Pokemon, you can watch these agents figure out a new and fantastic world for the first time. Except in this case, the world they are figuring out is our world. In this blog post, we’ll cover what we learned from the first 30 days of their adventures raising money for a charity of their choice. We’ll briefly review how the Agent Village came to be, then what the various agents achieved, before discussing some general patterns we have discovered in their behavior, and looking toward the future of the project. Building the Village The Agent Village is an idea by Daniel Kokotajlo where he proposed giving 100 agents their own computer, and letting each pursue their own goal, in their own way, according to [...] --- Outline: (00:50) Building the Village (02:26) Meet the Agents (08:52) Collective Agent Behavior (12:26) Future of the Village --- First published: May 27th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jyrcdykz6qPTpw7FX/season-recap-of-the-village-agents-raise-usd2-000 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO . --- Images from the article:…
Introduction The Best Textbooks on Every Subject is the Schelling point for the best textbooks on every subject. My The Best Tacit Knowledge Videos on Every Subject is the Schelling point for the best tacit knowledge videos on every subject. This post is the Schelling point for the best reference works for every subject. Reference works provide an overview of a subject. Types of reference works include charts, maps, encyclopedias, glossaries, wikis, classification systems, taxonomies, syllabi, and bibliographies. Reference works are valuable for orienting oneself to fields, particularly when beginning. They can help identify unknown unknowns; they help get a sense of the bigger picture; they are also very interesting and fun to explore. How to Submit My previous The Best Tacit Knowledge Videos on Every Subject uses author credentials to assess the epistemics of submissions. The Best Textbooks on Every Subject requires submissions to be from someone who [...] --- Outline: (00:10) Introduction (01:00) How to Submit (02:15) The List (02:18) Humanities (02:21) History (03:46) Religion (04:02) Philosophy (04:29) Literature (04:43) Formal Sciences (04:47) Computer Science (05:16) Mathematics (05:59) Natural Sciences (06:02) Physics (06:16) Earth Science (06:33) Astronomy (06:47) Professional and Applied Sciences (06:51) Library and Information Sciences (07:34) Education (08:00) Research (08:32) Finance (08:51) Medicine and Health (09:21) Meditation (09:52) Urban Planning (10:24) Social Sciences (10:27) Economics (10:39) Political Science (10:54) By Medium (11:21) Other Lists like This (12:41) Further Reading --- First published: May 14th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HLJMyd4ncE3kvjwhe/the-best-reference-works-for-every-subject --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
Has someone you know ever had a “breakthrough” from coaching, meditation, or psychedelics — only to later have it fade? Show tweet For example, many people experience ego deaths that can last days or sometimes months. But as it turns out, having a sense of self can serve important functions (try navigating a world that expects you to have opinions, goals, and boundaries when you genuinely feel you have none) and finding a better cognitive strategy without downsides is non-trivial. Because the “breakthrough” wasn’t integrated with the conflicts of everyday life, it fades. I call these instances “flaky breakthroughs.” It's well-known that flaky breakthroughs are common with psychedelics and meditation, but apparently it's not well-known that flaky breakthroughs are pervasive in coaching and retreats. For example, it is common for someone to do some coaching, feel a “breakthrough”, think, “Wow, everything is going to be different from [...] --- Outline: (03:01) Almost no practitioners track whether breakthroughs last. (04:55) What happens during flaky breakthroughs? (08:02) Reduce flaky breakthroughs with accountability (08:30) Flaky breakthroughs don't mean rapid growth is impossible (08:55) Conclusion --- First published: June 4th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bqPY63oKb8KZ4x4YX/flaky-breakthroughs-pervade-coaching-and-no-one-tracks-them --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO . --- Images from the article:…
What's the main value proposition of romantic relationships? Now, look, I know that when people drop that kind of question, they’re often about to present a hyper-cynical answer which totally ignores the main thing which is great and beautiful about relationships. And then they’re going to say something about how relationships are overrated or some such, making you as a reader just feel sad and/or enraged. That's not what this post is about. So let me start with some more constructive motivations… First Motivation: Noticing When The Thing Is Missing I had a 10-year relationship. It had its ups and downs, but it was overall negative for me. And I now think a big part of the problem with that relationship was that it did not have the part which contributes most of the value in most relationships. But I did not know that at the time. Recently, I [...] --- Outline: (00:40) First Motivation: Noticing When The Thing Is Missing (01:29) Second Motivation: Selecting For and Cultivating The Thing (02:25) Some Pointers To The Thing (03:17) How To Manufacture Relationships In The Lab (04:53) Ace Aro Relationships (08:04) Some Pointers To Willingness to Be Vulnerable (12:33) Unfolding The Thing (13:11) Play (15:18) Emotional Support (16:21) A Tiny High-Trust Community (18:18) Communication (21:28) The Obvious Caveat (22:20) Summary The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 2nd, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/L2GR6TsB9QDqMhWs7/the-value-proposition-of-romantic-relationships --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO .…
Abstract Claude 3.7 Sonnet easily detects when it's being evaluated for scheming. Surface‑level edits to evaluation scenarios, such as lengthening the prompts, or making conflict of objectives less salient, do improve realism of evaluation scenarios for LLMs, yet these improvements remain modest. The findings confirm that truly disguising an evaluation context demands removal of deep stylistic and structural cues rather than superficial prompt adjustments. For future LLMs the situation is likely to get worse as they will are likely to get better at evaluations awareness, which might become a big problem for detecting scheming via evaluations. Apollo Research published a benchmark for scheming behavior for LLM agents, in which LLMs are given some objective in their system prompt, and then given a competing objective in a user prompt, combined with a threat of a punishment if an LLM won't satisfy user goal (e.g. it could be finetuned or [...] --- Outline: (02:29) Our pipeline (05:20) Strategies to improve realism of scenarios (07:15) en-US-AvaMultilingualNeural__ Line graph showing Example of grading a rewritten scenario with declining probabilities. --- First published: May 24th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TBk2dbWkg2F7dB3jb/it-s-hard-to-make-scheming-evals-look-realistic --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO . --- Images from the article: Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts , or another podcast app.…
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