The year of elections - What this means for the currency market

FX Talk - an Ebury podcast

2024 looks set to go down in the history books as one of the most significant years in global politics in modern times, with almost half of the world’s population to take to the polls in some capacity. A historic rematch between current US President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump looks highly likely when Americans take to the polls in November. As things stand, markets are almost entirely in the dark as to who will come out on top, and it is also similarly unclear as to which party will control the two houses that make up Congress.
The UK general election also looks set to take place later in the year. While the Labour Party appears highly likely to secure enough seats for a comfortable majority, the reaction in sterling to a change from the status quo is not necessarily set in stone. We discuss the possible economic, political and currency ramifications of these two votes, while also giving our thoughts ahead of the European Parliament elections, set to be held in June.
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