The Fate Of The Fed's Balance Sheet | Lou Crandall & Joseph Wang on Draining of Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility, Timeline of QT Taper, and 2024 Tax Refund Data

Forward Guidance

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Joseph's piece on Real Rates: https://fedguy.com/higher-real-rates-for-longer/

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:40) Reverse Repo Decline Driven By A) Decline In Fed's Balance Sheet And B) Increased Supply Of Treasury Bills And C) Private Repo Market Demand

(05:45) The Liquidity Demands Of The Basis Trade (Long Cash Treasurys / Short Treasury Futures) Is Drawing Money Out Of Fed's Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility

(12:40) VanEck Ad

(13:22) Lou's Accurate Prediction On Why Fed's Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Would Not Be Renewed (It Wasn't)

(17:10) Fed's Balance Sheet Policy: Quantitative Tightening (QT)

(25:30) Summary From Jack

(27:01) Money Market Data Could Indicate QT Will Continue For Longer

(28:28) DAS Ad

(33:14) Interest Rate Outlook On Fed Cutting Cycle

(37:17) Inflation And Real Interest Rates

(43:43) Potential Government Shutdown In U.S.??

(46:33) Tax Season Approaches! The Plumbing Of Refunds

(49:31) Joseph's Closing Thoughts On U.S. Fiscal Situation

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.