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Jim Sannes, the managing editor of digital media at FanDuel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation on the Super Bowl weekend of motorsports. Highlights include: Model building for motorsports (1:26). Simulating motorsports results (7:50). The differences between Nascar and Formula 1 (11:20). Coca-Cola 600 (20:20). Monaco Grand Prix (24:55)…
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To generate preseason NFL rankings, The Power Rank takes market win totals and backs out a rating for each team. This analysis singles out a single team from the NFC South with by far the easiest schedule for the 2024 season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To …
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Arif Hasan, owner of the Wide Left NFL substack, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His composite NFL big board to evaluate talent (:43). How to quantify the accuracy of the consensus big board (7:25). The two people that beat the consensus big board (10:35). Interesting players to watch based on the 2024 big board …
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Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Are tight ends like Brock Bowers overrated? (1:29). An NFL draft bet (4:10). The trajectory of JJ McCarthy (8:10). Arizona with the 4th pick (12:32). Another NFL draft bet based on wisdom of crowds (18:25). The…
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Matt Waldman, who creates the Rookie Scouting Portfolio based on countless hours of watching film, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The difficulty in projecting JJ McCarthy (2:34). Why quarterbacks fail in the NFL (14:46). How to improve NFL QB development (24:05). Bryce Young, Jordan Love (29:10). How to tell whe…
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Ryan O'Hanlon, the author of the excellent Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution and writer for ESPN, joins the show to discuss Champions League. Highlights include: The one thing to take home from Net Gains (0:42). Man City vs Real Madrid (5:39). Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (15:28). Dortmund vs Atletic Madrid (22:26). Barcelona …
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Aaron Barzilai has a Stanford PhD and has worked for multiple NBA teams. He has also founded HerHoopStats.com, a comprehensive site for women's college basketball and WNBA analytics, and joins the show to discuss the 2024 Final Four. Highlights include: South Carolina, coach Dawn Staley vs North Carolina State (0:42). Iowa vs Connecticut (8:50). Of…
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With the new rules in college basketball, transfers can make a big impact on a team. Edward Egros explores the data behind transfers and breaks down the impact on teams like Kansas, North Carolina State and Gonzaga. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free chea…
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You love March Madness because of the upsets, the underdog that slays the huge favorite. Edward Egros looks at the last five colossal upsets and spots trends in these games. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fi…
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Data and analytics are very good at predicting the outcome of March Madness. However, you might choose to go against the numbers in your bracket. This episode explores the cognitive science behind why you are still considering that 12 over 5 seed upset. Humans are worse than rats in dealing with randomness, and this has consequences in filling out …
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Do college basketball teams that perform better on the road have an edge in the NCAA tournament? Conversely, do teams that only thrive at home fail in March? Edward Egros looks at the evolution of home court advantage and how teams perform on the road compared to home. He identifies three teams to fade in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Bracket Wisdom is…
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The Mountain West has had a remarkable season, as the mid-major conference might get up to six teams in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Edward Egros takes a data based approach to break down San Diego State, a team that made the title game in 2023, as well as Utah State and Boise State. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to g…
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The Southeastern Conference has provided some of the best, most entertaining college basketball this season. Edward Egros breaks down the tournament chances for Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it dro…
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Data is king, as predictive analytics should play a crucial role in predicting the outcome of the 2024 NCAA tournament. However, do not forget about a surprising predictive resource based on the wisdom of crowds. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat s…
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Professor Edward Egros, a sports analytics and betting expert who has worked for Fox, FanDuel and the NFL among other places, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Big Ten team that can surprise in the NCAA tournament (2:13). The Big West team that could play Cinderella (4:07). Edward's favorite to win the 2024 tou…
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Ed Miller, co-author of the books Interception - The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting and The Logic of Sports Betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The one thing to take away from Interception (1:10). Betting versus making software for sports books operators (4:40). Why he and Matthew Davidow wrote Interceptio…
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Jordan Sperber, college basketball analytics expert and founder of the Hoop Vision newsletter and channel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How Houston's top ranked defense defies analytics (1:12). Top national title contenders (8:31). Study on transition threes (9:38). Study on mid-range jumper (15:47). An overra…
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Connecticut won the 2023 NCAA tournament in dominant fashion, and my numbers suggest that Dan Hurley's team will contend again this season. This episode contains a chapter from the book The Miracle of St. Anthony by Adrian Wojnarowksi, my favorite sports book. It tells the story of a young Dan Hurley and his transition from playing to coaching. The…
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Matt Freedman, the head of betting at Matthew Berry Fantasy Life and the writer of the Betting Life newsletter, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A more obscure Super Bowl prop (1:28). A more conventional Super Bowl prop (5:19). How Matt and Fantasy Life come up with quantitative predictions (10:00). How Kansas Cit…
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Adam Levitan, the founder of Establish the Run and NFL props expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Two Super Bowl props (0:50). How the quantitative team at Establish the Run works (7:20). How the NFL prop market has changed (11:51). San Francisco offense vs Kansas City defense (15:07). Kansas City offense vs San…
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Drew Dinsick, a well respected quantitative bettor that also goes by Whale Capper, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Best bet on Kansas City at Baltimore (0:59). The spread market for Kansas City at Baltimore (13:16). Bet on Detroit at San Francisco (18:30). Biggest takeaway from the 2023 NFL season (26:37). The Fo…
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Evan Silva, founder of Establish the Run and an exceptional NFL analyst, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Biggest takeaway for the 2023 NFL season (:40). Best bet for the Divisional Playoff (5:47). Houston at Baltimore (9:45). Green Bay at San Francisco (14:05). Chicago Bears and the top pick of the 2024 draft (21…
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Clevta, founder of clevanalytics.com and a respected NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Joe Flacco miracle (1:25) How to beat the Cleveland defense (6:07) Cleveland at Houston (8:44) A bet on Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (13:08) A bet on Los Angeles Rams at Detroit (19:06) Blended 4th quarter win probab…
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Tej Seth, a data scientist at Sumer Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on Michigan vs Washington (1:03). Metrics Tej uses to evaluate NFL teams (6:10). Biggest NFL takeaway from the 2023 season (9:12). Detroit Lions (17:08). Tej's story and programming course (21:37). The Football Analytics Show is pre…
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Kelley Ford, the founder of the popular college football analytics site kfordratings.com, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: 3 big analytics takeaways from the 2023 season (1:47). How his college football rating work (7:38). Michigan vs Alabama (14:20). Texas vs Washington (23:02). 2 book recommendations (30:48). Th…
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