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The euro goes up, the dollar goes down, and China devalues the yuan. But what's behind these currency fluctuations? This forex podcast is all about the global currency market. Our three financial market analysts, who are also top Bloomberg forecasters, discuss macro-economic news and its effect on the global financial market - providing you with insights to make informed decisions. *The information contained in this podcast does not constitute a recommendation from any Ebury entity to the re ...
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¡Tantas cosas para aprender y tan poco tiempo! ¿A qué cada vez que lees un contenido en un blog piensas eso? Las horas del día son las mismas para todo el mundo y se nos quedan cortas para hacer todo lo que queremos. Porque también nos pasa lo mismo, hemos pensado en realizar este podcast. Para que aproveches los tiempos libres donde no puedes leer todo el contenido que quisieras, pero tienes ganas de seguir aprendiendo cómo sacar más provecho a tu negocio en Internet. En el autobús, en el d ...
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show series
 
Our FX 101 series provides a strong foundation of knowledge and terminology to better understand the more in-depth discussions and analysis covered in our regular episodes of FX Talk. By offering a range of topics and insights, FX 101 helps you build a solid understanding of FX and its complexities, and ultimately serves as a starting point in doin…
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We dive into the main reasons behind the recent strength of the US dollar in the global markets. The USD has been trading higher against most other G10 and emerging market currencies, except for a few exceptions such as Latin American ones. We explore what's been driving this rally, with a focus on market concerns surrounding the US debt ceiling an…
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Amidst important data releases, the US NFP beat expectations, but the US CPI reported a decline in inflationary pressures. G10 currencies have seen the USD as the worst-performing currency for the past two months (except for JPY), largely due to an increasingly confident market that the Fed is finished hiking rates after May meeting. In contrast, t…
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Our FX 101 series provides a strong foundation of knowledge and terminology to better understand the more in-depth discussions and analysis covered in our regular episodes of FX Talk. By offering a range of topics and insights, FX 101 helps you build a solid understanding of FX and its complexities, and ultimately serves as a starting point in doin…
  continue reading
 
Welcome to the latest episode of FX Talk, where we bring you all the latest news, headlines, and developments in the foreign exchange market. In this fortnightly dose, we cover the most important events that have occurred since our last episode. Despite a quieter period in the markets, banking uncertainty has been a key focus, which has now signifi…
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In this episode, we discuss the recent banking turmoil, specifically the failure of SVB and its impact on the market. SVB's sensitivity to interest rate risk and its investment in long-duration bonds led to a significant mark-to-market hole in its balance sheet, causing depositors and investors to withdraw their funds en masse. This panic has contr…
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Today's focus is on the major data that has reshaped expectations for central bank interest rates. Generally, we're observing two things: the activity data is holding up better than expected, and inflation is proving more persistent than hoped. As a consequence, markets are bracing for higher rates for a longer period. Let's start with the US. We h…
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Since the last episode, the markets have experienced a relatively quiet period, with most major currencies trading within narrow ranges. There were, however, some exceptions in Scandinavia, where certain currencies rallied sharply. For instance, the Swedish krona jumped following a hawkish announcement from Riksbank. On the other end of the scale, …
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The current trading environment is marked by volatility and choppiness, with most currencies trading within tight ranges throughout January. This can be attributed to a combination of the absence of major news events and anticipation surrounding announcements from central banks such as the Fed, ECB, and BoE. Starting with the Fed, their latest move…
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At the moment, the key theme in currencies is an improvement in risk sentiment and an appreciation in high-risk currencies, at the expense of lower-risk ones, such as the US dollar. The USD index has hit a June 2022 low and has fallen more than 10% since October, as the Federal Reserve slows its hiking cycle and global recession fears abate. Among …
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What can we expect this year? The narrative in 2022 was much about central bank responses to rising inflation rates. Will that remain the case this year? Or will these central banks begin calling time on their tightening cycles. And what about the global economy? Are recession indeed on the way? Or will we just see modest downturns in growth? In su…
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China finally signs of an easing in its zero-Covid policy. It boosted the CNY and risk currencies against the USD. We see an improvement in risk sentiment and also signs of a downtrend of US inflation. We also are noticing growing expectation among investors for a dovish pivot during the Fed meeting next week. We’d like to hear from you! Provide us…
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If you’re following financial markets at the moment, there really is very little chance to catch your breath. Since our last episode, the market sentiment has improved and investors dialed back expectations for US rate hikes, weighed significantly on the dollar. Meanwhile, the October US inflation report is much softer than expected. The big questi…
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According to the BoE, further increases in interest rates may be required to bring inflation back down to target, but the bank stated that the peak in rates would be '‘lower than priced into financial markets''. On the UK economy, the BoE once again struck a sombre note. In its statement, the MPC spoke of a ‘very challenging’ outlook for the UK eco…
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Last time we spoke about the reaction in the pound to the budget and the potential impact of the tax cuts on the economy. Since then, we have seen one of the most dramatic U-turns in British political history. Most of the tax cuts (around 80%) that were announced have now been reversed. How have markets reacted? Sterling posted decent gains and UK …
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What are the economic consequences of the mini-budget? Since the initial sell-off, the GBP has recovered in the past few sessions. What are the reasons for the recovery in the pound? We’d like to hear from you! Provide us with feedback so we can improve the podcast: https://linktr.ee/fxtalk Liked this show? Please leave us a review here – even one …
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We'd like to hear from you! Provide us with feedback so we can improve the podcast: https://linktr.ee/fxtalk Since our last episode, the US dollar has rallied against almost every other G10 currency, with the sole exception of the Swiss franc, which has benefitted from the hawkish turn from the Swiss National Bank. The main theme in markets has bee…
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We’de like to hear from you! Provide us with feedback so we can improve the podcast: https://linktr.ee/fxtalk The main talking point has been the move below parity in EUR/USD for the first time since December 2002. The pair teetered on the brink of parity for a couple of sessions, before falling fairly comfortably below it on Thursday. A divergence…
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Time flies when you’re having fun. So, this is a good chance for us to look back on the first six months of the year, and talk about our main highlights in the FX market so far this year. We then look ahead, and talk about what we expect during the remainder of 2022.توسط Ebury FX Talk
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The Swiss franc was the best performing currency in the G10 last week after the SNB shocked markets by announcing a 50 basis point interest rate hike - the consensus was for no change. The bank also changed its wording on the franc, no longer calling it ‘highly valued’ and saying that it would be prepared to intervene in the market on both sides.…
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Markets will have one eye on next Wednesday's FOMC meeting. The Fed is set to raise rates by another 50 basis points next week and signal more hikes are coming at upcoming meetings. This will be followed by the Bank of England’s latest policy decision on Thursday. But we’re going to focus first on Thursday’s ECB announcement, which delivered a long…
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On the whole, most economies rebounded well from the COVID induced slowdowns in 2021, as an easing in restrictions allowed for an unleashing in pent-up demand. While the strict covid restrictions are a thing of the past for most of us, a number of other downside risks to growth have materialized of late, causing markets and central bankers to fret …
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We spoke on our last episode about the sharp sell-off witnessed in risk assets in late-April, which sent most higher risk currencies lower against the safe-havens, notably the US dollar. The US dollar index, which measures the currency against a weighted basket of its peers, rose to its strongest position in almost 20 years earlier in the week, as …
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In FX, we’ve seen a classic period of ‘risk off’ trading. The US dollar has been by far and away the best performing currency, rallying sharply against pretty much everything else. Most emerging market currencies are down, with the exception of the Russian ruble, some more than 4 or 5% in the past week alone. The major currencies have also suffered…
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For the most part in the last month, we’ve seen an improvement in risk sentiment - the safe-havens have generally underperformed, notably the Japanese yen, which has slumped to around its lowest level at any time since I started working in the FX industry, and at the release of this recording may well have fallen to its lowest level since 2002. The…
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Investors were caught wrong-footed by news of the full-scale invasion last Thursday, despite a host of warnings, with markets holding onto misplaced optimism that a peaceful solution could be found that would avoid conflict. In FX, almost all emerging market currencies sold-off, most rather sharply, albeit there were some exceptions (notably those …
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Last week was a very eventful one of central bank announcements, with the Bank of England also holding its February monetary policy meeting on Thursday. As expected, interest rates were raised by a quarter of a percent to 0.5%, the first back to back rate increase in the UK since 2004, after rates were of course raised by 10 basis points back in De…
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So far in 2022, we have seen a broad rebound in most of these EM currencies, many in excess of 3% in less than 3 weeks - including the Brazilian real, South African rand and Hungarian forint. Now, while part of this recovery has to do with the broad weakness we’ve seen in the US dollar, we’ve also seen a general rebound in risk appetite, which has …
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The main talking point in recent months has undoubtedly been the recent sharp increase in global inflation, driven largely by an unleashing of pent up demand and acute supply shortages. Price growth has continued to far exceed expectations of both central bankers and economists. Citibank’s G10 Inflation Surprise index, for instance, rose to a fresh…
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Wellcome to the last transcribed edition of the Ebu Access Cast for 2021. Stay tuned till the end because we prepared many nice things for you and if you stay listening, you will hear surprising announcement at the end. However if you are really curious skip out to the end of the shownotes to find out what did we say. Mario bought him self a nice a…
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We’re going to start by talking about the most traded and popular currency pair in the foreign exchange market, and that is of course EUR/USD, which has been on a rather volatile ride in the past fortnight. The cross began November around the 1.16 level, although it has since fallen sharply and is down about 3% month-to-date to below the 1.13 level…
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Welcome back in the 34th episode of the EBU Access Cast where, as always, we provide you with the news around assistive technology and accessibility. This episode, hosted by Paweł and co-hosted by Tanja, Mario and Hlynur contains big amounts of news from the Big companies out there, impressions of technology we have ourselves tested and a nice demo…
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More than half of the major G10 central banks have announced their latest policy decisions in the past couple of weeks. The Bank of Canada abruptly ended its quantitative easing programme, much sooner than the market expected. The Reserve Bank of Australia held policy steady, although indicated that it could raise rates sooner than it had previousl…
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The main talking point in financial markets continues to be the sharp increase in inflationary pressures globally. This has caused investors to both fret that a slowdown in global growth could be on the cards in Q4, and also raised expectations for central bank interest rate hikes.توسط Ebury FX Talk
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The Real remains one of the most volatile emerging market currencies that we cover, with levels of implied probability that exceed just about all of its regional peers. BRL sold-off aggressively at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, falling to a record low of around 5.9 to the US dollar. The currency stabilized in the second half of last year and …
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Welcome back to the 33rd episode of the EBU Access Cast Here we provide transcription of the 33rd episode of the EBU Access Cast. In this episode Hlynur, Mario, Tanja and Pawel cover a wide range of topics regarding accessibility, from Pawel’s birthday present to himself to a new software suite that turns up Mario’s cravings for cheesecake to the m…
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Investors appear slightly torn between renewed optimism surrounding the pandemic and concerns surrounding the recent stagflation narrative, whereby many economic areas are seeing rising consumer prices, coupled with slower growth. Following the recent sharp increase in US inflation and robust labour market performance, investors have braced for an …
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Welcome back to EBU Access Cast - podcast about assistive technology for blind and partially sighted people. This is transcribed episode 32. Some of us got the EU Covid certificate and we shared our experiences of showing the digital version on the mobile phone as blind persons. We found out that not all PDF viewers on mobile phones open the QR cod…
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Listen to what our analysts have to say about the latest FOMC policy meeting and what they expect from the financial markets in Augusta and early September.توسط Ebury FX Talk
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It is been a period that has been largely characterized by ‘risk off’ trading. If we look at the FX performance tracker for the past month, the three best performers in the G10 have been the traditional safe-havens. The swiss franc, Japanese yen, and US dollar - in that order. Meanwhile, the higher risk currencies, including the Norwegian krone and…
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We’re going to start this episode by talking about Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report - the impact it had on the market and our general thoughts I guess on the strength of the US labour market. Most currencies, particularly the major ones, spent much of it within rather narrow ranges amid a lack of significant newsflow. On Friday, however, we did see…
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We had said on this podcast two weeks ago that we thought the Fed would likely take on a less dovish stance in light of rising inflation and the strong recovery in the US economy. That was indeed the case, and in fact the bank surprised most of the market by signaling it is becoming increasingly concerned with the aggressive increase in US prices.…
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It is almost summer, but we are not giving up, in fact we came to the Episode 31 of the Ebu Access Cast, and boy we found many different topics to discuss. However if you think that you herd anything, no no you didn't because we have a Special interview for you about Navilense which you can hear towards the end of the Episode. But at the beginning …
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The main focus of this episode will be on the upcoming G3 central bank meetings. We’ll start by talking about Thursday’s ECB meeting. Then we'll move on to talk about next Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, which promises to be an equally important one for markets.توسط Ebury FX Talk
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In this episode we start by talking about the key theme in financial markets at the moment, and one of the main causes of concern for investors. There is a recent increase in global inflation, which causes a change in the price of goods and services over time. We are seeing signs of a sharp uptrend in prices, as restrictions are eased and economies…
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This time on FXTalk our market experts discuss the underwhelming US payroll report, and how the dollar has reacted. Prior to Friday's report investors were bracing for a massive increase of jobs. Growth economists were expecting a number close to 1 million jobs created, but the actual number was considerably lower.…
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Welcome back to the 30th episode of the Ebu Access Cast, the big THREE ZERO! In this episode, Hlynur makes his debut as a lead host, joined by the always charming Tanja, Mario and Pawel. We covered a lot of current issues... everything from binaural recordings of a volcano in Iceland to an audio version of an IKEA catalogue. Pawel told us about his…
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In this episode, we begin by talking about the recent sell-off of the US dollar. In our second topic, we focus on a busy couple of days for the euro towards the end of this week.توسط Ebury FX Talk
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